Vuelta Espana 2019 Odds
The time won/lost column displays the gains in time in the GC. Click on the time of any rider to view the relative gains on this rider. Tour de France experience: Three Giro and a Vuelta but no Tour experience. Possible role: He’s the new kid on the block, having followed Dumoulin over to Jumbo-Visma 12 months after his teammate.
The first ever points classification was held in 1945. However, it was in 1963 that the Vuelta introduced a scoring system for this competition that’s similar to what we have today.
Unlike with the Tour de France and the Giro d’Italia where the points competition is based on sprints both intermediary and at the finish of flat stages, the Vuelta’s competition is based on where a rider finishes at the end of the stage and any intermediate sprints along the way.
Furthermore, there are points awarded on mountain stages as well. This is a big difference between the Vuelta and the other two Grand Tours. It’s also why there’s a strong correlation between the points classification winner and the overall Vuelta race winner.
Vuelta a Espana betting sites have released their odds for the points classification. Let’s take a closer look at this competition, identify the best betting options, and predict who will win the green jersey.
? Favoritos para el maillot verde / Green jersey: contenders ?
?? @Sammmy_Be
??♂️ @deceuninck_qst
#LaVuelta20 / @skoda_espic.twitter.com/p5vtylNPot
— La Vuelta (@lavuelta) October 18, 2020
Previous Points Classification Winners
Sean Kelly, Laurent Jalabert and Alejandro Valverde hold the record for the most all time wins of this competition with four apiece. Primoz Roglic won this competition in 2019 and returns to this year’s Vuelta to defend his overall crown.
The following is a list of previous winners dating back to 2010:
- Mark Cavendish in 2010
- Bauke Mollema in 2011
- Alejandro Valverde in 2012, 2013, 2015 and 2018
- John Degenkolb in 2014
- Favio Felline in 2016
- Chris Froome in 2017
- Primoz Roglic in 2019
Vuelta a Espana Betting Odds
The following cycling betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
- Primoz Roglic (+175)
- Sam Bennett (+250)
- Alejandro Valverde (+400)
- Tom Dumoulin (+1000)
- Pascal Ackermann (+1200)
- Thibaut Pinot (+1800)
- Magnus Cort Nielsen (+2000)
- Alexander Vlasov (+2500)
- Jasper Philpsen (+2500)
- Richard Carapaz(+2500)
- Alex Aranburu (+2800)
- Chris Froome (+2800)
- Enric Mas Nicolau (+4000)
- Michael Woods(+4000)
- Ivan Sosa (+5000)
- Sepp Kuss (+5000)
- Matteo Moschetti (+6600)
- Dan Martin (+8000)
Roglic puts Tour de France loss behind him as Vuelta a España defence begins.
Jumbo-Visma head to Spain with stacked team #vuelta2020https://t.co/swGfJPBnRJpic.twitter.com/oqhSjGbXnr
— Cyclingnews.com (@Cyclingnewsfeed) October 19, 2020
Top Choices for the Green Jersey Competition
Based on the cyclists in this year’s Vuelta a Espana, the following riders are the best choices to win this year’s Points Classification:
Primoz Roglic (+175)
Last year, Roglic took this competition by 19 points over Tadej Pogacar. Roglic’s finishes on the mountain stages helped him beat out sprinters like Sam Bennett who was 21 points behind.
Vuelta Espana 2019 Odds College Bowl
Roglic would go on to win last year’s red jersey competition as well. Furthermore, he’s the betting favorite to win the Vuelta a Espana this year. You have to like Roglic’s chances of sweeping the red and green jerseys once again.
Sam Bennett (+250)
Sam Bennett is the best of the sprinters to take the field for the Vuelta. He ended Peter Sagan’s green jersey reign at the Tour de France and is now looking to capture his first Vuelta points classification.
Bennett has only competed in two races since the TDF, so his legs should be fresh. The only concern is how Bennett will do in the six mountain stages.
Expect Bennett to take all of the intermediate sprint points that he can get, in order to compete for the overall win in this competition.
Valverde: We have to race the Vuelta a España like a series of Classics.
Movistar leader warns 'this can be lost from day one'https://t.co/vl5A2K8Siepic.twitter.com/prZhY0FlDc
— Cyclingnews.com (@Cyclingnewsfeed) October 19, 2020
Alejandro Valverde (+400)
As mentioned, Alejandro Valverde has won this competition four times. His latest victory came in 2018, but he also has four runner ups and three third place results. That gives Valverde 11 Top 3 results in this points competition.
Despite being 40 years of age, Valverde finished 4th last year in this competition and has raced well in 2020 so far. He was 12th at the Tour de France and 8th in the World Championships road race.
Vuelta Espana 2019 Betting Odds
You can never count out Valverde in the Vuelta especially when it comes to the green jersey.
Tom Dumoulin (+1000)
Dumoulin is the second overall betting favorite to win the Vuelta a Espana. So, it’s not a surprise that he’s one of the favorites for the points classification as well.
Dumoulin will follow the same path to victory in this competition that Valverde and Roglic have perfected over the last few years.
That path is to finish high on the mountain stages and not too far back in the sprint finishes. The one concern for Dumoulin is that he will be racing for his leader Primoz Roglic, so be cautious if you are looking at “Tommy D.” to win this competition.
Pascal Ackermann (+1200)
The German rider is one of the top contenders to compete with Sam Bennett when it comes to the sprints. He’s looked strong in sprint finishes over the few races that he’s competed in.
At the BickBank Tour, Ackermann was 3rd in the first two stages. However, it was at Tirreno-Adriatico where Ackerman won that event’s points classification.
The biggest concern is he will have to beat out Sam Bennett to have a shot at winning this competition. As of now, I don’t see that happening.
Richard Carapaz (+2500)
Carapaz comes into this year’s Vuelta as the leader of Team INEOS. He has a strong supporting cast that features the return of Chris Froome.
Carapaz has raced well this year with a 13th in the Tour de France and a 2nd in the mountains classification. Since this year’s Vuelta has numerous mountain stages, Carapaz could really take advantage of these summits and contend for this points competition.
Additionally, I believe that the 2019 Giro d’Italia winner will be a contender for the overall race win. Carapaz offers the best betting value to win the points classification as he’s a favorite to land on the podium by time it’s all said and done.
Vuelta Espana 2019 Odds Ncaa Football
Who Will Win the Points Classification?
My top four candidates to win this competition are: Roglic, Valverde, Carapaz and Bennett.
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La Vuelta Ciclista A Espana
— BORA – hansgrohe (@BORAhansgrohe) October 16, 2020
However, with the number of mountain stages, the poor weather, and the peaks that these riders have to climb, I like Roglic or Carapaz to win the points classification. Since we can only pick one, I’m taking Roglic to win this competition and the overall race as well.
The Vuelta a Espana is the yearly multi-stage bicycle race held in Spain. Patterned after the Giro d’ Italia and Tour de France, the Vuelta a Espana was first raced in 1935 and has been held every year since 1955. Although it is literally the “Tour of Spain”, the race occasionally makes passes through nearby countries. Likewise, the peloton has expanded from being primarily a Spanish-only race to one that features the best cyclists in the world. The Vuelta is a UCI World Tour event, which means that majority of the participants are UCI World teams, save for the wild card entries which the organizers of the race can invite.
Together with the Tour de France and Giro d’Italia, the Vuelta a Espana make up cycling’s Grand Tours. The current edition of the Vuelta consists of a 21-stage race schedule held over a 23-day period with two rest days in between. All of the stages are timed and the riders’ individual times are added after every stage. The rider with the lowest aggregate time is the race leader and gets to wear the red jersey.
The General Classification competition is considered the most prestigious but aside from it, competitions like the Points Classification, Mountains Classification, Combination Classification and Team Classification are simultaneously held.
Roberto Heras holds the record for most victories at the Vuelta a Espana with four. Sean Kelly, Laurent Jalabert and Alejandro Valverde own four wins each in the Points Classification. Jose Luis Laguia has 5 wins in the Mountains Classification while Spain is the winningest country in the race with a total of 41 Vuelta a Espana wins.
2019 Vuelta a Espana will be the 74th edition of the Tour of Spain. It will be held from August 24, 2019, to September 15, 2019. The race will commence with a team time trial stage in Torrevieja on the Costa Blanca. The race has a total distance of 3,272.2 km divided into 21 stages across three weeks of racing.
Below is a list of the winners of the Vuelta a Espana during the current decade:
- 2010 Vincenzo Nibali (Ita) Liquigas–Doimo
- 2011 Juan José Cobo (Esp) Geox–TMC
- 2012 Alberto Contador (Esp) Saxo Bank–Tinkoff Bank
- 2013 Chris Horner (USA) RadioShack–Leopard
- 2014 Alberto Contador (Esp) Tinkoff–Saxo
- 2015 Fabio Aru (Ita) Astana
- 2016 Nairo Quintana (Col) Movistar Team
- 2017 Chris Froome (GBR) Team Sky
- 2018 Simon Yates (GBR) Mitchelton–Scott
Last year, Simon Yates won 2018 Vuelta a Espana, his first Grand Tour victory. Yates was coming off a Giro d’Italia disappointment before winning the Spanish tour. The Englishman’s final time was 82 hours, 5 minutes and 58 seconds as he finished 1:46 ahead of Enric Mas who came in second. Miguel Angel Lopez completed the podium by finishing in third place.
This year, Yates is 9th in the current cycling betting odds board for the outright winner of the 2019 Vuelta a Espana. Here are the odds to win 2019 Vuelta a Espana. These odds were taken from TitanBet as of 8/12/19:
| Cyclist | Odds |
|---|---|
| Primoz Roglic | +200 |
| Miguel Angel Lopez | +300 |
| Richard Carapaz | +450 |
| Geraint Thomas | +500 |
| Steven Kruijwijk | +900 |
| Enric Mas Nicolau | +1400 |
| Nairo Quintana | +1600 |
| Alejandro Valverde | +1800 |
| Simon Yates | +2000 |
| Sergio Higuita | +2200 |
| Tadej Pogacar | +2500 |
| Rafal Majka | +2500 |
| Wouter Pols | +2800 |
| Johan Esteban Chaves | +3300 |
| Tao Geoghegan Hart | +3300 |
| Rigoberto Uran | +4000 |
| Jakob Fuglsang | +4000 |
| Domenico Pozzovivo | +5000 |
| Davide Formolo | +5000 |
| Pavel Sivakov | +5000 |
Who Are The Favorites?
Primoz Roglic is the 29-year old Slovenian from UCI World Team Team Jumbo-Visma. Roglic has had a solid last two years of racing. In 2018, he was 4th in the 2018 Tour de France and won the 2018 Tour of the Baque Country and 2018 Tour de Romandie. He also won the 2018 Tour of Slovenia and finished third in the 2018 Tour of Britain. This year, Roglic won the Tour de Romandie again and took the Tirreno-Adriatico plus the UAE Tour. Then Roglic finished third overall in the 2019 Giro d’Italia.
Miguel Angel Lopez finished third in the Vuelta a Espana last year. The 25-year-old Colombian is having a fine 2019 with his second consecutive Young Rider Classification win at the Giro d’Italia. He was also the Young Rider winner of the Vuelta a Espana in 2017 where he finished 8th overall.
Richard Caparaz is the 26-year old from Team Movistar who won his first major race earlier this year at the 2019 Giro d’Italia. The Ecuadorian is only the second South American to win the prestigious race and the first and only from Ecuador. Caparaz first raced the Tour of Italy in 2018 where he finished in 4th place.
Geraint Thomas is the leader of UCI World Team Team Ineos. Thomas has won three World Championships and two Olympic gold medals. He was the 2018 Tour de France winner. This year, Thomas has yet to win a major race. He finished third at the 2019 Tour de Romandie and second at the 2019 Tour de France.
Steven Kruijswijk rides for UCI World Team Team Jumbo-Visma. The 32-year-old Dutchman finished 9th in this race in 2017 and 4th last year. He’s had a solid 2019 with a 6th place finish at the Tour de Romandie, 5th place finishes at the Volta a Catalunya and 3rd place at the Vuelta an Andalucia. Kruijswijk was also third in the just concluded 2019 Tour de France.
Who Wins?
Primoz Roglic has perhaps the most solid two-year credentials among the top betting favorites to win 2019 Vuelta a Espana so he is justified as such. Miguel Angel Lopez is coming off a podium finish in Spain last year while Richard Caparaz is coming off a victory in Italy. Don’t count out Geraint Thomas who finished in second place at the 2019 Tour de France despite being called out of form before the race.
But let’s not forget last year’s winner Simon Yates who hasn’t won a major race this season but is coming off a disappointing Tour de France where he finished in 49th place in the General Classification competition. Yates was 8th at the 2019 Giro d’Italia but is having form problems this year.
The Vuelta a Espana is a Grand Tour which favors the climbers. Roglic, Kruijswijk, and Thomas are among the best climbers in the business. When you look at the Mountains Classification in the 2019 Tour de France, it’s Kruijswijk who finished in 9th place. But don’t forget the defending champion Simon Yates was 6th in the King of the Mountains competition in France. Kruijswijk was 3rd overall in the 2019 Tour de France and was 4th in Spain last year. So based on better betting value and current form, I’m picking Steven Kruijswijk to win 2019 Vuelta a Espana. Prediction: Steven Kruijswijk
Vuelta De Espana
